Quote:
Originally Posted by russellw
It's actually an interesting question.
In Australia we have had widely differing Hospitalisation / ICU / Intubation rates with hospitalisations ranging from 36% of cases (VIC) down to 3.9% (NSW). Likewise the ICU percentages range from a low of none (Tas) to 2.4% (NSW) and up to 18.4% in Victoria while intubations range from none in WA, SA, Tas through 2.0% in NSW and up to 6.3% in Victoria.
The National average is 9% of active cases receiving hospital care; 4% of active cases are in ICU and 3% of active cases are being intubated.
If those rates were to be maintained (which they wouldn't) and we have 2,200 ICU beds available then we could support about 5,000 concurrent active cases as long as they were evenly spread where the beds are (which they wouldn't be).
To put that in perspective; we currently have 990 active cases nationally.
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What you're picking up is the number of actual cases reported which require intervention. Are we picking up asymptomatic carriers, those who don't know they've got cv19 or those that haven't bothered to test for it? This goes back to the 95% of people who don't require intervention.
Do you have any data on Denmark's approach? This would be interesting to see as they're dealing with this virus in a completely different manner to most countries.
Is it mandatory or legislated you must present to a health agency or testing agency if you have a cold or flu like symptoms?