Quote:
Originally Posted by tweeked
The CMR's over the last 6 months would be interesting. A lot of that early data was skewed due to huge numbers of cases not being diagnosed. Not asking you to do the work Russ, just stating that where it is at ongoing makes interesting numbers when looking at the risk/benefit of opening up, especially the CMR's from countries with over 50% vax rates.
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I did post the global CMR's a few pages back but it's probably too early to get definitive data for high vax rate countries yet.
What I can say, from the UK analysis thus far, is that CMR appears to drop significantly as the UK has dropped from around 1.8% over the pandemic duration to 0.44% in the current wave.
I'm not sure that the UK is a great example for global assessment, if only because we know their methodology for counting COVID mortalities is flawed compared to the WHO recommendations but it is still an indicator given their methodology hasn't changed.
It's why Florida will be another useful litmus test. They are over 10M vaccinated which is 48% of the total population but well over 50% of the adult population and as they have abandoned all restrictions we can gauge how their CMR changes. I'll need another two weeks to accumulate enough data to draw any meaningful conclusions and I suspect that their methodology might also flawed given their overall CMR is only 1.48% despite the high percentage of 70+ in the population but the early data is suggesting that it has only fallen slightly but take that with a large grain of salt!