Thread: Covid 19 -
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Old 13-10-2021, 12:34 PM   #15961
FoxtrotGolfXray 5.0
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Quote:
Originally Posted by russellw View Post
[B]NSW/VIC


VIC records 1,572 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.0356 (from 1.0103) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend.

image
Hey Russ, I know this may still be early, but I'm wondering what a 4th order poly would look like over that Vic data? Be interesting to see how quickly it would predict a decline in the numbers.

Also, I note that the Reff has dropped below one to 0.99, which is also a good sign.
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