[russellw]

Since we last looked at the case numbers globally (a bit over 4 weeks ago) there have been 19M cases (+7.3%) and 264.5k deaths (+5.0%) which would suggest that the case mortality rate is on the decline. Indeed, the global average has dropped from 2.021% to 1.964% which is a good sign.

It's not been universally good though.

To digress for a moment. Yesterday was roughly day 654 of the pandemic so the 37 days since we last looked at the data is 5.7% of the total so the case growth rate is still above the average growth rate.

There are countries that have had more than their fair share of case growth this last month including these which have all grown case numbers by >20%:

Singapore - 20.4%
Dominica - 20.7%
Caribbean Netherlands - 21.0% (albeit off very low numbers)
Finland - 21.5%
Isle of Man - 21.7%
Switzerland - 22.0%
Andorra - 22.4%
Greece - 22.5%
Czechia - 22.7%
Australia - 22.5%
Croatia - 23.8%
Netherlands - 24.3%
Barbados - 25.5%
Hungary & Ireland - 25.8%
Germany & Trinidad - 27.6%
Iceland - 27.7%
Belgium - 27.8%
South Korea - 28.1%
Austria - 28.4%
Denmark - 29.4%
Lichtenstein - 32.3% (off low numbers)
Vietnam - 32.9%
Slovakia - 33.7%
Channel Islands & Norway - 34.0%
Anguilla - 34.7% (off low numbers)
Faeroe Islands - 41.6% (off low numbers)
New Zealand - 42.9%
Laos - 48.7%
Greenland - 54.2% (off low numbers)
Cayman Islands - 66.4% (off low numbers)

Of more importance are those countries where mortalities increased by more than 15% over the period and these include: (note that the ones in blue also appeared in the high case growth numbers above)

Armenia - 15.0% with vaccination rates ~15%;
Serbia - 15.0% with a vaccination rate of 57.9%
Russia - 15.4% with a vaccination rate of 47.1%
Bulgaria - 15.8% with vaccination rates ~25%;
Greece - 16.3% with a vaccination rate of 73.1%;
Congo - 17.3% with vaccination rates <1%;
Finland - 18.0% with a vaccination rate of 87.2%;
Croatia - 19.0% with a vaccination rate of 54.2%;
Georgia - 19.3% with a vaccination rate of 30.9%;
Norway - 19.2% with a vaccination rate of 84.8%;
Latvia - 20.3% with a vaccination rate of 58.8%;
Vietnam - 20.5% with a vaccination rate of 68.6%;
Ukraine - 21.3% with a vaccination rate of 30.1%;
Dominica - 23.8% with vaccination rates ~40%;
Burkina Faso - 25.3% with vaccination rates <5%;
Barbados - 28.9% with vaccination rates ~50%;
PNG - 30.7% with a vaccination rate of only 2.8%;
South Korea - 32.4% with a vaccination rate of 87.4%;
Singapore - 38.2% with a vaccination rate of 83.2%;
New Zealand - 34.0% with a vaccination rate of 80.3%;
Laos - 67.2% with a vaccination rate of 40.7%; and
Anguilla - 75.0% (off very low numbers) with vaccination rates ~50%.