Covid 19 -

[T3rminator]

Originally Posted by russellw

I'm not arguing with your logic given that the countries I've been watching seem to have a CMR about 1/3rd of ours (0.43% v 1.16%) but in some cases the hospitalisation rates amongst the unvaccinated are a bit higher than our ~7% and that was the point I was making.

If we can manage to open up with a phased approach and avoid the disaster that is Florida at the moment where the health system hasn't been able to cope and ICU utilisation is already above 90% despite their high vaccination levels.

Would be good to know what the average capacity take up at our hospitals and ICUs were before covid, say on a bad flu year. Not just the beds, but also the people supporting the system.

When we open up, non covid illnesses will also be on the rise and take up capacity e.g. flu, mental health related, accidents etc?

I've also heard one theory that kid's immune systems may not have developed as strongly as they otherwise would be, because they have not been out and about being exposed to viruses and bacterias.

I assume this has all been factored into the Doherty modelling. The director of the Doherty has now come out and clarified that the modelling does allow opening with "hundreds" of cases.