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12-10-2021, 10:48 AM
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Chairman & Administrator
  
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,100
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NSW/VIC
NSW records 360 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 0.9282 (from 0.9499) while the actual line is now only slightly above the predictive trend line and based on the 3rd order polynomial, that trend line has a downward curve.  VIC records 1,496 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.0103 (from 1.0496) while the actual line is back below the predictive trend.  Week 13 in Victoria ended today with 35,648 cases to date compared to 18,245 at the same point of the 2020 outbreak and 43,306 for the NSW 2021 outbreak. Weekly case numbers see Victoria now passing NSW and I expect that those numbers will continue to grow for a while, bearing in mind that we are comparing historical data for NSW with current data for Victoria as NSW is about 3.5 weeks ahead.. 
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 Observatio Facta Rotae
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Re: Covid 19 -
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