Covid 19 -

[SJG351]

Originally Posted by russellw

Australia / New Zealand
NSW records 5,856 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9837 from 0.9788) while the actual line falls further below the predictive trend line.

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VIC records 5,852 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9924 (from 0.9669) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend.

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No states set a new daily record on 27/2.

Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st. Note that all trend lines have been amended to 5th order polynomials except New Zealand.

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We’ve added New Zealand now that things have ramped up there. Data goes back to January 15th and the 15,016 cases yesterday was a new record high and the actual line looks like Australia did some weeks back although it is starting to level off a bit.

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Russ, just out of curiosity what are you using as your data source for cases?