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26-07-2012, 08:30 PM | #31 | |||
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The Lima Agreement is not a conspiracy, I was simply pointing out 'why', as one key reason, we and the western world have had our manufacturing jobs go offshore. You need to read those resolutions. I'm not paying attention to what folk on the sites are saying, if thats where your getting the conspiracy idea. |
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26-07-2012, 09:06 PM | #32 | |||
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Wayne |
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26-07-2012, 09:09 PM | #33 | ||
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THE END IS NEAR.
An article from 3 days ago. When the mining and construction boom is over we are **********d. What else does australia have now? AUSTRALIA'S mining boom will end in just two years, economists predict. In the sternest warning yet of troubled times to come, Deloitte Access Economics today said: ''The strong bit of Australia's two-speed economy won't stay strong for more than another two years or so''. Access’s Chris Richardson said that the boom continues to do all the heavy lifting on Australia's economic growth, but the peak of the project pipeline is already in sight. Investment in resources projects - the key driver of the boom - is looking "less certain the further out you look", Mr Richardson said. Access, Australia's leading private-sector economics advisory, said: "Mining companies are making it clear the current spike in investment is due to decisions taken a while back, whereas we are getting few new mining mega-projects across the line." Recommended Coverage WA on its own compared to other states WA is the nation's strongest state on most economic valuations, and even its weakest parts outstrip many other jurisdictions, CommSec says. 'Frustrating and dumb policies holding WA growth back' TAXES and varying starting ages for school children are two "dumb" reasons why only one in seven people moving to WA are Australian. The report also said that costs in the mining industry are rising fast and potential profits are being dialled down on the back of deflating commodity prices and doubts over demand from Asia.
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27-07-2012, 06:33 AM | #34 | ||
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There appears to be a theme that we need these refineries as some form of self-reliance. That overseas manufacturer will be able to somehow hold Australia to ransom. For a moment, let’s put the boot on the other foot. Australia exports huge quantities of coal, iron ore, and gas.
How do the Japanese consumers feel about the security of their electricity supply relying on Aussie coal and gas? How to the Chinese and Indians feel about their manufacturing security relying on Aussie iron ore? Do we not see ourselves as reliable suppliers who one can trust? And do we not know that if we are not reliable, these countries can quickly swing to other suppliers? So, why are we fretting on overseas refined petroleum products if there is already substantial oversupply in the market? |
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27-07-2012, 07:43 AM | #35 | |||
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http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-07-2...losure/4157396
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27-07-2012, 09:30 AM | #36 | |||
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27-07-2012, 09:51 AM | #37 | |||
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Better start learning to be self sufficient, cause when we are nearly all outta work , there will be no tax money to pay for those unemployed and the tap will get turned of Some countries are running 3 outta 10 unemployed,this country cant handle that amount,we are under 10 % now its only gunna get worse As for the fuel refinery , well we will have to by electric powered now wont we |
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27-07-2012, 10:16 AM | #38 | ||
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Professor John Buchanan, Director of the Workplace Research Centre of the University of Sydney Business School spoke on ABC TV this morning about how Norway had used the revenue from the "gift" of North Sea Oil to upskill and educate their citizens to work in other areas of employment.
Even as little as 1% of the mining tax revenue would train thousands of people currently being made redundant in the skills needed to work in the 90% of non-manufacturing jobs in Australia.
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27-07-2012, 10:48 AM | #39 | ||
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sadly, the reason that it is cheaper for these companies to import rather than refine/ produce here is purely running costs.
Why pay someone here maybe $26 an hour when some guy in asia will do the job for $9? |
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27-07-2012, 10:50 AM | #40 | |||
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And there we have our problem. A mining tax collected by the Feds, and an education system run by the states (except Universities, but they are not there to upskill or reskill workers). There needs to be an alignment between federalised education, TAFEs and upskilling workers who lose their jobs. Currently it's just one of those buck passing things between the states and the Feds. Companies have to pay to retrain staff who are made redundant to some extent, and while this is the case, governments will shirk any responsibility.
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27-07-2012, 11:14 AM | #41 | |||
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It's around $3/barrel to refine crude here but Asian plants can do it for significantly less and even though shipping costs add back onto that, the additional product flow through an Asian refinery more than offsets sustaining infrastructure in Australia, badly outdated structure at that. |
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27-07-2012, 11:32 AM | #42 | ||
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Labour costs are a small component, not the overlying component. As stated earlier, the refineries are old and costs to refurbish and modernise them are prohibitive.
Whilst labour costs are cheaper in Asia, the ability to build massive state of the art refinieries is greater because of the lack of environemental and other regulations in some of those countries.
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27-07-2012, 11:49 AM | #43 | |||
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27-07-2012, 12:20 PM | #44 | ||
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Not when they bulldoze 200 acres of rainforest to put them on, and run them on electricity generated from burning old tyres.
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27-07-2012, 12:58 PM | #45 | |||
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Unemployment currently sits at around mid 5%, interest rates are at the lowest level ever, the economy just celebrated 21 years without a recession, which is a WORLD record by the way, our GDP has been at the upper end of world standards for the last few years and the agencies I use for labour hire cant find enough humans with a pulse, and everyone is convinced the world is going to end? YOU HAVE TO BE KIDDING?????????????????????? All your seeing is what has been happening within our economy for the last 20 or 30 years. Old inefficient industries that have not updated plant and technology at the expense of profit taking are now so uncompetitive the capital cost of modernising is beyond a reasonable pay back level, so they quit the market. Only difference is today is more immediate reporting in the media and scare campaigns sell........... Its a natural life cycle for the economy. Jobs lost here are repalced in other industries and the world moves on............. I think overall more brand new businesses opened their doors yesterday than existing business closed...........its just that one gets reported and one dosnt.
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27-07-2012, 01:05 PM | #46 | |||
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our primary concern is Australia, lets say for some reason there is a shortage of fuel around the globe, suddenly the country that refines our fuel that we send them has a natural disaster and can only supply themselves with fuel for the next six months, (or we could add to that war causing shortage of fuel around the world) , all of our refineries have shut down because it was more profitable to allow other countries to do it for us, and we allowed it to happen . can we build a refinery in a couple of weeks or a month to keep us going till the the problems at the over sea`s are resolved and their refinery's come back on line if they are able? the way i look at , it is not a theme ........it is fact ! yes for the time being things are ok, but things can change very quickly over night, trading partners can become distant at the drop of a hat through political, cultural, or natural disaster reasons, and every time we lose a bit of our own ability to be self sufficient....................... if it hits the fan down the track we are less able to deal with it. ever seen what happens to this country when trucks stop running for a few days let alone a week or a month? maybe we can get by now, i would hate to see us be absolutely reliant on other countries, our self reliance in my book is one of the reasons we are the lucky country, but it seems to be slipping away. |
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27-07-2012, 01:16 PM | #47 | |||
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In any case the decisions have ben made to progressively exit oil refineries in this country Last edited by jpd80; 27-07-2012 at 01:33 PM. |
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27-07-2012, 01:33 PM | #48 | |||
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no amount of solar panels is going to help a steel smelter for example, they rely on masses of power to heat the raw materials, it`s a bit easy to look at Australia as a whole and say we are`nt doing to bad compared to other countries with out resources ,while we are riding on mining/resource sectors back, lets see what happens if the resource sector has the predicted slow down, myself i firmly believe in the two speed economy, a percentage is doing it harder while the other percentage is coasting along at the moment, i hope we are as well off as some say. |
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27-07-2012, 01:58 PM | #49 | |||
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27-07-2012, 02:16 PM | #50 | ||
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They are only unemployed if they are actively looking for work.
I contend that the refinery in question (with the exception of the contractors) would have a very well established work force, most of whom would have spent the best parts of their careers there. When they are made redundant, they will come out of it extremely well, to the point that if any of them are over 50 they would not need to work again. Same goes for Alcoa in Geelong. Everyone's been there forever. They will do nicely out of its closure. A story that the Unions would prefer you don't hear. It's the ancilliary and related businesses that are reliant on these large companies that stand to suffer the most. The ripple effect.
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27-07-2012, 02:20 PM | #51 | |||
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27-07-2012, 02:23 PM | #52 | |||
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I wrote out a 200 word reply but then deleted it. Bottom line is, mining is only around 10% of our economy, and the other 90% is in good shape. The glass is more than half full, and I wouldnt be panicking anytime soon.
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27-07-2012, 02:25 PM | #53 | |||
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27-07-2012, 02:29 PM | #54 | |||
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27-07-2012, 03:14 PM | #55 | |||
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27-07-2012, 03:47 PM | #56 | |||
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27-07-2012, 03:55 PM | #57 | ||
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I agree with you XWGT that things are more 'glass half full'. A trip to WA, or the sheer volume of Residential construction and employment in my area, attest to this.
I also agree with you Mik that it is best, historically to be self sufficient. As far as not being able to smelt steel with solar panels, try this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_furnace It's a start! As far as the unemployment being high, or low (it seems depending on one's opinion the data can be skewed any way), I found this fascinating - http://www.theage.com.au/business/wo...712-21yuw.html It seems there are people out there who are not working, and not unemployed either - just waiting and seeing. In my mind I see Ayn Rand's hero, John Galt, withdrawing his mind and productivity from society until the time of looting is over, but I am sure the truth is something different... |
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27-07-2012, 04:03 PM | #58 | ||
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bring the retirement age back to 55 years, get these old no good baby boomers out of the work force pronto before anymore country shapping sceams come out.
We as australians have a choice, follow the old living model of the usa(the american/baby boomers dream)- this involves living way beyond our means on easy credit being a nation of over weight high consumers, we dont need to manufactor anything it can all be purchased with our high dollar, obviously this lifestyle requires large amounts of money(at the moment this money comes from selling our noreplensiable natural resources) in the future, well this concept has no future and you most defintly cant save the enviorment living by this model 50 years time the mines are empty of coal and iron so we make the decission to fill them with all the broken made in china product we consume. or we get rid of our credit cards, personal loans, pay tv, car loans if you cant find a product with made in australia written on it dont purchase that iteam (and no i dont care if its the same phone that Jay-Z has) tax the hell out of the miners, like Puttin and Gaddafi did with the oil tycoons. I mention Gaddafi as when he was in power a % of all oil profit out of libya where paid directly to its natural born citizens bank accounts. This concept has it merrits as it shares the wealth from natural resources to all natural born citizens in a given country. As a result of living in our means prices come down as demand drops, the dollars comes down as growth slows now we have more spare time to work out the important things , to be inventors, develope critical thinking, all of a sudden investment picks up, we can afford to manufactor again, we USE of resourses not just sell them. Personal weath grows and only now can we think about saving the enviroment. |
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27-07-2012, 04:04 PM | #59 | |||
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My take on what the Prof was saying is that if we trained more to go into mining, and doubled the mining workforce, we would only go from 2% to 4%; therefore we need to be training for other skills, technologies to improve employment prospects.
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27-07-2012, 04:36 PM | #60 | ||
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guys i work in a oil refinery as a operator, this is disgusting that the government will let chevron go ahead with gorgon and wheatsone projects and not save this refinery they are in a partnership with caltex, its ok for them to reap the resources but not put back, singapore/india imports are cheap because they import slave labour from india/sri-lanka-bangaldeish, make no mistake that the contractors at these foriegn refineries are treated like dirt, the foreign refinerires constantly kill workers, Martin fergunson is a twit, "80% of crude oil is imported anyway" no crap we sell our good low sulphur light crude overseas cause they get a better price for gippsland and kosack (WA) crude oil, and that stupid GM of caltex to say the carbon price is not to blame, so they never considered the extra 1-2 million $$$ it would cost the base business??, yes it wasn't the straw the broke its back but it helped nevertheless!! Australia must retain its refining capacity for energy security, what get's me is that no one is realising that once these gas projects go ahead that our Nat gas will become more expensive because the market place will open up and we as consumers will be paying more, other countries will want to seek our cheap gas, supply and demand, we lose, big oil gets bigger, a sad sad outcome for all of us, i should mention that we already for excess supply of nat gas...
Last edited by dart434; 27-07-2012 at 04:46 PM. |
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