Cyclone Yasi....

[vanman_75]

month ago i prepared my rocky house for flood ...got power back on today after a month , so now a cyclone comes i prepare my house here and go to rocky to escape ... all locked down , i preferred the floods but, at least they were sorta predictable ..

best of luck to all up north , scary that the wet season is only just started . gunna be a doosey the size of it

[Franco Cozzo]

My grandma is on Holloways beach, we rang her up today and she goes "What cyclone?"...

Time to dust off that walking frame and get her *** into the car I think. She's stubborn though, do police have the power to make people evacuate? Hopefully they force her out or she'll stay.

[DJM83]

This system is unlike anything the state has seen before. Modellers/Forecasters had nothing to match this system up with to get an idea of intensity.
Apparantly the storm surge level has been reduced (Not gospel), but the margin of error for this storm is just far too big.
Cairns 250-280kph winds and 1000mm~ of rain.
We must have really drawn the short straw here in QLD this year for bad weather.
Stay safe guys please and heed all warnings given, and id like to think most people have already prepared.

[Deco28]

Originally Posted by DJM83

This system is unlike anything the state has seen before. Modellers/Forecasters had nothing to match this system up with to get an idea of intensity.
Apparantly the storm surge level has been reduced (Not gospel), but the margin of error for this storm is just far too big.
Cairns 250-280kph winds and 1000mm~ of rain.
We must have really drawn the short straw here in QLD this year for bad weather.
Stay safe guys please and heed all warnings given, and id like to think most people have already prepared.

Yeh, can't really get out of Cairns eithers. it's roadlocked :(. Gonna try to hold out in my house...

Not a nice feeling at the moment.

[fordomatic]

kuranda is the only way out now, i just sent the family up to Coa so at least there nice and safe there, better than trinity beach where they were. i agree with the comment that the margin for error is huge, who knows what will actually happen. guess we will find out tomorrow night

[Jim Goose]

Still blue skies here at the moment in townsville.
Have supplies and mostly ready. Tomorrow be finishing off.
I dunno where they get this storm surge stuff from, in all the cyclones that have passed through here we have never been affected by tidal surges. Not even in 1971.

But i may see if i can move my XB somewhere... otherwise up on jacks and bricks.

[fordomatic]

Originally Posted by Jim Goose

Still blue skies here at the moment in townsville.
Have supplies and mostly ready. Tomorrow be finishing off.
I dunno where they get this storm surge stuff from, in all the cyclones that have passed through here we have never been affected by tidal surges. Not even in 1971.

But i may see if i can move my XB somewhere... otherwise up on jacks and bricks.

mate if you need a place to put the XB im at high point apartments in the city and still have one spot in my parking left, its nice and high. your more than welcome to have it

[Spanrz]

Watching this. I've been through the remnants of a Hurricane in the US.

This is one pistol packin' mama. Looks like they have adjusted slightly, from north of Cairns, to south of Cairns now.

Originally Posted by Black F6

im going to Hamilton island in 2 weeks, hope there is some left

There should be something left, but if it turns South all of a sudden, start to panic.

[tweeked]

This thing is a monster. good luck and stay safe guys

[Low006]

Yes this is seriously scarey. Cleaned up yard, Thank god the XP is on the Rotti as We can pack everything into the shed. Just turned her to the side.







Expecting 150km/hr winds from about 4am in the morning - and the cyclone is not going to hit until 10pm tommorrow night.

Expecting power outage for at least a week now. Mattress's are to go into the bathroom and onto the table.

Had to pull Tin off the Caravan shed so it hopefully won't end up in the neighbours pool.

[Jim Goose]

Originally Posted by fordomatic

mate if you need a place to put the XB im at high point apartments in the city and still have one spot in my parking left, its nice and high. your more than welcome to have it

Thanks, My aunt is out an annandale and her house never flooded during the floods we had here 15yrs ago. May have to visit there and move all the stuff she has in there so I can fit!....

Have to play the waiting game i guess.

Just watching the radar at willis is and there is a large band of rain there but still not in range???

[Yaw]

Seriously I hope everyone in North Qld is going to be OK. I am in Brisbane and once again offer services for small dog or cat fostering if anyone needs it after the aftermath.

On the lighter side I saw this today:
[IMG][/IMG]

[mininote]

Another tonsvillian here, family starting to get a bit nervous, were on the northern beaches, have businesses in Townsville and cairns, especially concerned for my business and staff in cairns, seriously powerful storm cell, stay safe guys...

[XAGSV8]

Biggest cyclone I have ever seen. Glad I don't live up north anymore. I am seriously concerned for all up there.

[CAT600]

Another adversary that the locals are up against is the clock.... this thing looks set to cross the coast just prior to midnight..... what a terrible time of day to have roofs being ripped off and the added uncertainty that the darkness brings.

I'm feeling for you guys.

Daniel

[rodderz]

Been following this for a while now, with family up in Mackay. This has the potential to be the biggest seen in Australia, especially if it crosses land at Cat 5, towns a few 100km away will still see Cat 2 winds and rain. Course seems to indicate between Cairns and Innisfail, but most QLD cyclones track south a bit before landfall, so Townsville could also be in the firing line. The 100km wide eye would also mean several towns might see the worst. After landfall potentially the system will impact most of Australia's weather for the next week or so.

Batten up guys, get out if you are worried, there's been too many "perfect storms" the last few years whether it be fire, floods or storms.

The worst part is, the weather guru's are saying that with the Pacific being so laden with moisture on top of warm waters, there is a possible 2 more cyclones to form and head to Australia in the next 2 weeks.

[My32Doors]

Originally Posted by fordomatic

about 60% of us Townsville folk got a text last night saying that we need to relocate, they are expecting a 6m storm surge which will put most of townsville under. i live on the beachfront in a unit complex and we have been told to stay put and just cover our windows up as they are cat5 cyclone proof. going to get nice and windy thats for sure. at work we have been getting water and ration packs ready for the last two days and have a huge team on standby so the army is ready to go when they are called upon. to all the people up here Hayden Walker has been spot on all summer so batten down the hatches.

I hope everyone stays safe BUT there is NO SUCH THING as cat 5 proof!

[rodderz]

Interesting comparison here, Yasi has potential to be one of the most powerful ever. I think Cyclone Tracey was a little larger than what the lower text reades but was still only a small cyclone compared to this

[mik]

you poor buggers are copping it, best of luck.

[geckoGT]

What can I say QLD, what have we done to deserve all this?

All those in the affected areas, be smart and be prepared, good luck.

I will be ringing work tomorrow to register my name to travel up in the aftermath and help out.

[atec77]

Originally Posted by Black F6

Hope you guys are all safe, im going to Hamilton island in 2 weeks, hope there is some left

well if the Hula girls survive you just need a tall one and a deck chair
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/natio...sat.loop.shtml
looks dreadful rather like the beginings of TGracy so best wishes folks and get out of the coastal area NOW

[Low006]

Sick of waking every hour on the hour so up and it is as still as still can be. Text message and Telephone message from disaster managment saying mandatory evacuations now for low lying areas along coast. This was at 10.00pm - all good we are way above sea level - but feel for the people who are not. Everyone scared as we are just fresh from watching the floods and flash floods of Toowoomba and Brisbane. It is very real.

[Swordsman88]

Originally Posted by Low006

Sick of waking every hour on the hour so up and it is as still as still can be. Text message and Telephone message from disaster managment saying mandatory evacuations now for low lying areas along coast. This was at 10.00pm - all good we are way above sea level - but feel for the people who are not. Everyone scared as we are just fresh from watching the floods and flash floods of Toowoomba and Brisbane. It is very real.

Don't forget the winds low006. Don't want to cause you further concern but at almost cat 5 level its no joke. Sure alot of places are pretty well built up that way due to cyclone standards but at those higher wind speeds nothing is guaranteed. This is not being very well reported in media down this way and i can't understand why. Not much point worrying about water getting into your house if the joint is blowing away now is it? A lot of the older buildings will have damage of some kind for sure.

[mininote]

Frm BOM, is now an official category 5, and moving south slowly, the eyenhas moved from cairns to innisfail, the only positive to this is its moving away from the larger centers of cairns but my goodness poor innisfail...

[DJR-351]

Category 5 now guys, I hope everybody up there have made arrangements already and are not leaving it to the last minute, this is not one of those old "Cyclone Party" type situations....

Stay safe....

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDQP0005.txt

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: Transmitters broadcasting to coastal areas between Cape Melville to
Sarina and inland areas east of Croydon to Hughenden are requested to USE THE
STANDARD EMERGENCY WARNING SIGNAL before broadcasting this warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 11
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 5:01am EST on Wednesday the 2nd of February 2011

A Cyclone WARNING is current for island and coastal areas from Cape Melville and
Sarina, extending inland to Croydon and Hughenden.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from the remaining tropical
interior east of Camooweal and north of Winton.

At 4:00 am EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 5 was estimated to be
650 kilometres east northeast of Cairns and 650 kilometres northeast of
Townsville moving west southwest at 30 kilometres per hour.

SEVERE TC YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN
EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA,
ESPECIALLY BETWEEN PORT DOUGLAS AND TOWNSVILLE.

THIS IMPACT IS LIKELY TO BE MORE LIFE THREATENING THAN ANY EXPERIENCED DURING
RECENT GENERATIONS.

The Cyclone has now reached CATEGORY 5 and will continue to move in a
west-southwesterly direction during today.

Coastal residents within the warning, and particularly between Port Douglas and
Townsville are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS sea level rise
[i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast. The sea is
likely to steadily rise up to a level which will be VERY DANGEROUSLY above the
normal tide, with EXTREMELY DAMAGING WAVES, strong currents and flooding of
low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be
affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much
as possible, and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the
area if advised to do so by authorities.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are expected to develop on coastal islands
later this morning, then extend onto the coast during the day, and further
inland across the northern tropical interior overnight.

Between Cooktown and Ingham these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in
excess of 125km/hr during the afternoon and VERY DESTRUCTIVE with gusts above
280 km/hr between Port Douglas and Cardwell during the evening as the cyclone
approaches. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds can also occur on the seaward side of
hills to the north of the cyclone and are also forecast to reach the Atherton
Tablelands.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during the afternoon and
then extend inland overnight.

People between Cape Melville and Sarina, extending inland to Croydon and
Hughenden should complete preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a
safe place.
- Boats and outside property should be secured.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

People about the remaining tropical interior east of Camooweal and north of
Winton should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat
increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 15.7 degrees South 151.7 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 30 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 295 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 5
.Central pressure......... 924 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 8:00 am EST Wednesday 02 February.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

[Low006]

Still very calm and yes "Swordsmans88" I know all about the winds. I have watched everything being destroyed in a couple of big ones, Cyclone Winifrid in 1986 I watched it destroy my families livelyhood, Cyclone Larry did it again and now this one. One reason I can't sleep - it's the waiting, wondering just how long the wind will go on, what part of the roof will come off, which part of the house will be blown away.

[dave289]

Originally Posted by Yaw

Seriously I hope everyone in North Qld is going to be OK. I am in Brisbane and once again offer services for small dog or cat fostering if anyone needs it after the aftermath.

On the lighter side I saw this today:
[IMG][/IMG]

looking at this radar image you would think the whole of queensland would be wiped out ,by the image it seems to stretch from brisbane to the tip of queensland but if you have a look at the live radar below it looks like a couple of clouds swirling of the coast .

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/radar....wzstate&lc=qld

[nuthin' fancy]

Good luck to all you northerners, I hope this is the last extreme weather event for a while.

[DJR-351]

Originally Posted by dave289

looking at this radar image you would think the whole of queensland would be wiped out ,by the image it seems to stretch from brisbane to the tip of queensland but if you have a look at the live radar below it looks like a couple of clouds swirling of the coast .

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/radar....wzstate&lc=qld

The image Yaw put up is not a Radar image, it's a screen shot of a IR Satellite "loop"...

Another Satellite "loop" to give an idea of the size...

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDE00902.loop.shtml

Edit: The satellite will always give a better overall view than a radar due to the degredation of the radars signal in bad weather...

[DBourne]

Originally Posted by CAT600

Another adversary that the locals are up against is the clock.... this thing looks set to cross the coast just prior to midnight..... what a terrible time of day to have roofs being ripped off and the added uncertainty that the darkness brings.

I'm feeling for you guys.

Daniel

Like a bad movie isnt it