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05-05-2011, 11:23 PM | #91 | |||
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It is not by accident that sometimes I end up doing 61km/h, while it is not my aim to exceed 60km/h, it is an expected outcome of travelling as near to 60km/h as possible without checking the speedo. Last edited by sudszy; 05-05-2011 at 11:33 PM. |
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07-05-2011, 04:02 PM | #92 | |||
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Well, that's just ruined life for a lot of people on here.
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07-05-2011, 07:31 PM | #93 | |||
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Perhaps i am creating the magical strawman you always talk about? |
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07-05-2011, 07:59 PM | #94 | |||
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Yep, Ive done stupid things like see how fast my car would go on a public road(135km/h was it), sped when Im in a hurry, no its not something Im proud of and dont do anymore. You think you have a point to make if my vehicle occasionally goes 61km/h, absolutely pathetic ,and Im not even sure its even that, the speed alert may go off at 60.1km/h, 59.9km/h who knows, if the rest of the cretons out there could do the same the our roads would be a better place. |
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07-05-2011, 08:18 PM | #95 | |||
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Time to hop back off your soapbox
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Frosty and FPR - Bathurst winners 2013 Last edited by Fireblade; 07-05-2011 at 08:33 PM. |
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07-05-2011, 10:53 PM | #96 | |||
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Only 135? Man up. What were you in a 3 cylinder Charade or something. Anyone noticed those electronic signs at road works that tell you your speed. I pass one all the time lately and it is very inconsistent. Some days it will be out by 10KM/h from what my speedo reads, next day it may only be out by 5km/h. Makes you wonder how accurate speed cameras are. Sudszy, you seam to preach its the end of the world when you do 5km/h over. 5km/h doubles your chance of crashing or something like that, correct? Then 1km/h over must increase your chance of crashing by at least 25%. Can you really live with knowing you are such a deadly driver on the road? |
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07-05-2011, 11:44 PM | #97 | |||
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Dying at your job is natures way of saying that you're in the wrong line of work.
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08-05-2011, 04:50 AM | #98 | ||
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I agree with the posters road rule theory - at least no one would complain about revenue raising, as no one would get caught speeding. The idiots who go 105 in a 90 zone, overtake on double white lines, get angry and frustrated drivers that do the speed limit and brake every other rule that they signed for when getting their drivers licence that if they broke them they would be fined.
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08-05-2011, 05:09 AM | #99 | |||
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08-05-2011, 05:55 AM | #100 | ||||
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Maybe those that lie a wake wondering if they faked the moon landing. |
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08-05-2011, 06:13 AM | #101 | |||
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For a start 1/5 is 20% not 25%, but lets move on, the speed/risk phenomenon is not a linear one, I think there is a question in the learner's guide on that one. If we use the speed squared relationship, then if 5km/h represents a increase of 100%, then 1km/h only represents 8%. As I spelt out for you and others before, there is no such thing as a perfectly safe speed, just a speed by which the government/society has decided is an acceptable level of carnage and risk. Im happy to abide by that, and at the present time me perhaps reaching 61km/h for less than 0.001% of my journey times is deemed acceptable. So yes 0.001% x 8% = .00008% chance of increasing my collisions if I maintained 60.0km/h please bring some knowledge to the table rather than trying to shoot the messenger. Last edited by sudszy; 08-05-2011 at 06:21 AM. |
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08-05-2011, 07:54 AM | #102 | |||||
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I haven't murdered some one since my last victim, still makes me a murderer.
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Frosty and FPR - Bathurst winners 2013 |
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08-05-2011, 08:06 AM | #103 | ||
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Reaching into my experience in road crashes (limited yes, but worthwhile nonetheless), I am going to say that I can see where the OP is coming from. There is no doubt that every road user sticking to the rules 100% of the time would have a profound effect on both the road toll and the number of severe injury crashes. I know for a fact that of all the crashes I have attended the vast majority have involved someone breaking a road law be it speed, giving way, following distance or a multitude of other laws. The simple fact is in the majority of crashes a law has been broken by either someone involved in the crash or events leading to it.
Out of all the crashes I have attended I can only think of a few that no law was broken and they were a true "accident" according to the definition of the word. One was the guy driving in a storm and had his vehicle struck by lightning (confirmed by a number of witnesses), this set off his airbag which scared him, he lost control and he hit a power pole. The other are the few times I have been to crashes involving wild animals, I stipulate wild animals as there is no responsible party that is supposed to keep control of them. The simple fact is those crashes that involve legitimate accidents number very low in the frequency of causes of all crashes, 99.9% of the time some road law has been broken. The weakness in the OP's theory comes from the point he said we could achieve "zero road toll", of course we could not. The simple physiological fact is that any time the human being travels at anything faster than walking speed or more elevated than ground level, events may happen that will lead to his/her serious injury or death. The human body is only designed with enough strength to withstand impacts at walking speed or less. As for this idea that Skippy, Daisy and Fido cause so many severe crashes. Have a look at this page of well thought out information. http://www.fordforums.com.au/vbporta...article&id=996 It seems from the way I read through this information that out of the 13,700 odd reported crashes in Vic in 2009, only about 100 involved any form of animal. Now of course there were more impacts with animals than that but the vast majority would be unreported as they are so insignificant to the vehicle and cause so little damage. So based on those figures 0.72% of crashes that were reported in the data involved animals. Divide that by a factor of 50 (the number of incidents per fatality) and you get that animals in theory cause 0.0144% of road fatalities. Yes it may actually work out that one or maybe two occurs each year and that human deaths as a result of animal collisions are over represented in the statistics, but I can not see it being more than that (I actually don't think it has a hope of achieving that figure). Even if we were to knock out the stats from urban areas and only look at the stats of rural (therefore focus on the bigger animals) about 4000 crashes, this gives a true animal/vehicle crash rate of about 2.5% but this figure is actually exaggerated as I have reduced the total crashes but I have not reduced the animal figure (still includes urban figures as well), but lets be optimistic and try and blame it on Skippy. Therefore the calculated fatality rate as a result of Daisy and Skippy is now 0.05%. It seems that the actual numbers of fatalities that crashes with animals contribute to is insignificantly low, why do so many here focus on it?
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08-05-2011, 08:34 AM | #104 | |||
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08-05-2011, 09:57 AM | #105 | |||
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I peronally would have believed that wild animal strikes would account for slightly more of the road toll, but there you have it. I would reckon they are involved in lot's more incidents, but they would cause such minimal damage as you stated and are usually visible before intersecting with that there is time to avoid and slow down, and they don't have the approach speed of an oncoming vehicle. The amount of NEEEEEEAR misses i've had with animals, i'm surprised i am here still. Latest was a bloody COW at 10pm on the Dawson Highway a few weeks ago, the bugger was off the road but decided to wander on and STOP as we approached. Thank kerrist for spotties |
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08-05-2011, 10:57 AM | #106 | ||
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One question i have is if someone is drunk, speeding and hits an animal and dies does the fatality get blamed on one or all of these factors?
On the subject of animals if someone swerved to miss skippy and died in a head on collision would it be listed due to wild animal or neg driving? I ask that one mainly due to the fact that roo's are everywhere where i live and most people swerve around them almost causing crashes. I just plow straight through them. |
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08-05-2011, 11:02 AM | #107 | |||
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I think that would depend on how it is reported, if the animal is reported and the forensic crash investigator agrees it was a factor, it would be counted in the stats. That is my assumption, perhaps someone with more contact in the processes can confirm.
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08-05-2011, 11:10 AM | #108 | |||
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Since you seam to think you are a very intelligent person, you should of realized in my last post I was not trying to prove any facts. I was not attempting to prove my point math maths equations. I was simply taking the **** out of you since you are probably the biggest hypocrite on this forum. No matter how much you post, you will never change anyones opinion on this topic. But good for you sticking to your beliefs. |
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08-05-2011, 12:04 PM | #109 | ||||
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A while ago I read in a Syd paper where a P plater overtook another car on double lines and bumped into someone coming the other way. Luckily no one was seriously hurt, but I had to chuckle at the reporting officer who was quoted as saying that "Speed could have been a factor in causing the crash"
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Last edited by GasoLane; 08-05-2011 at 12:11 PM. |
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08-05-2011, 12:15 PM | #110 | |||
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08-05-2011, 12:20 PM | #111 | |||
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08-05-2011, 12:23 PM | #112 | ||
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Come on kids, ease up.
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----------------------------------------------------- 2012 Focus ST Tangerine Scream Continually having a battle of wits with unarmed opponents. Sez Photo's by Sez |
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08-05-2011, 03:53 PM | #113 | |||
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That assumption is that the ONLY causal factor in ALL accidents is speed. |
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08-05-2011, 04:13 PM | #114 | ||
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I still have a huge problem with saying that if you never speed, you'll never have an accident.
When it comes to mechanical problems, someone dropping off to sleep (which isn't, technically, illegal), a car slipping on a wet road because someone is doing 100 in a downpour (again, not technically illegal...stupid...but not illegal in any way), there is nothing that 95% of drivers could do whether they are doing 100kph or 105kph. There is far too much of this new-age Workplace Health And Safety philosophy that blames the human completely for an accident, and disregards any contribution from outside forces or tha machine being used at the time. "There's no such thing as an accident" is the mantra they spout, and it's bullshite of the highest order. While fallible humans are allowed to operate equally fallible machines, there will always be accidents, even if "everyone sticks to the rules". The absolute best we can do is to face reality and minimise the effects of the accidents when they inevitably occur. |
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08-05-2011, 04:34 PM | #115 | |||
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08-05-2011, 05:02 PM | #116 | |||
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This thread is about IF all rules are obeyed all the time there would be no accidents. Nice theory. Shame about the reality. |
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