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#14821 | |||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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Quote:
![]() Cheers Billy ![]() |
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#14822 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,850
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I feel like heeding the initiative of our honourable Premier and “intermittently” doing the right thing vis-à-vis following the Covid rules.
![]() A quick perusal of Waze shows Sydney road policing is currently directed at restricting traffic to some key recreational areas - the lower Mountains, the Hawkesbury, Northern Beaches… I expect tomorrow we’ll find out if it was revenue driven or just aiming to improve compliance with travel limits. |
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#14823 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,014
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT September 11th 2021.
Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting. 2,060 new cases for Australia (a new record) and 8 deaths so the CMR is 1.506%. 24 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 0.694%. The UK had a lower 28,856 cases yesterday and higher 156 deaths for a CMR of 1.864%. A higher 173,887 new cases in the USA yesterday and lower 1,762 deaths sees CMR at 1.622%. Other notable points: (weekend reporting) Global cases pass 224M, the last 1M in 2 days; Africa moves below the 90th percentile for the 10-day period; Angola (405); Australia (2,060); and Philippines (22,603) ... recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period while Greece drops below.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
Last edited by russellw; 13-09-2021 at 12:00 PM. Reason: Fioxed the date |
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#14824 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,014
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NSW/VIC
NSW records 1,262 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases slightly to 1.0052 (from 1.0417) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend line and is falling. ![]() VIC records 392 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.1018 (from 1.1613) while the actual line moves back to almost level with the predictive trend line. ![]()
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14825 | |||
Donating Member
![]() Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Heading thru Hell (Corner)
Posts: 8,181
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Another ABC story looking at other countries' progress with Covid, this time Singapore.
They have achieved an 80 percent fully vaccinated rate of their entire population, but are reintroducing restrictions due to the delta strain, as case numbers start to rise again. This is the view from Dr Chow, a clinical psychologist: Quote:
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Labels are for jars, not for people. Life is a journey, not a destination. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Daily: 2013 FGII EcoLPi in Winter White Play: 2015 FG X XR8 in Emperor Show' N Shine thread Gone, but not forgotten: 2015 SZII petrol Titanium Territory in Emperor |
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#14826 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,891
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UK have come out over the weekend declaring no vaccine passports, and no more lock downs. The first can, in theory, be set in stone, but the second will depend....
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#14827 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,014
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT September 12th 2021.
Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting. 1,638 new cases for Australia and 7 deaths so the CMR is 1.482%. 23 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 0.690%. The UK had a lower 28,614 cases yesterday and lower 56 deaths for a CMR of 1.857%. A lower 73,447 new cases in the USA yesterday and lower 719 deaths sees CMR at 1.621%. Other notable points: (weekend reporting) Only.. New Caledonia (300); ... recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period while Georgia, Morocco, Mauritania, Ivory Coast and Uzbekistan drop below.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14828 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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You do these stats everyday russellw, so what in all honesty do you think is going to happen down the track here in Australia!
Just what you think, personally ![]() Cheers Billy ![]() |
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#14829 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,014
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NSW records 1,260 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases slightly to 0.9939 (from 1.0052) while the actual line remains well below the predictive trend line and is stabilising. In promising news, that’s the first 10-day average below 1.0 growth rate which should herald the turning point if it holds up over the next few days.
![]() VIC records 473 cases in the current period (another high for this outbreak) and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.1108 (from 1.0907) while the actual line falls slightly below the predictive trend line. ![]()
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14830 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,850
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Another data source (ourworldindata.org, as at 8th September) has Singapore at “only” (my interpretation) 76,5% fully Covid-vaccinated. I would also think given the climate and population density there are potentially quite different factors affecting the spread of coronavirus in its people when compared to Australia.
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#14831 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,692
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Still no reprieve for Shepp, virtually zero new cases since last week, there was a couple early last week, but not much
How come we are still locked down and put into the same category as those dodgy ****ers in Melbourne?
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I reserve the right to arm bears
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#14832 | |||
Peter Car
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: geelong
Posts: 23,145
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Quote:
It's all chairman dan knows how to do anyway. Even when we hit 80% he'll still be reaching for the lockdown button when he see's fit. |
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#14833 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,850
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Quite a nice article on the ABC’s website about Dr Rifi:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-09-...yard/100428080 |
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#14834 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,891
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Quote:
![]() I'm really hoping they extend the 10km to at least 25km, otherwise there is really no change, for me anyways. Vic Gov has got to give a bit more carrot for those jabbed. As of next week I will have been double jabbed for 2 months. Patience is wearing thin.
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#14835 | |||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,014
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Quote:
That's the long term view. In the short term (the next 3 months), I expect to see a rise in case numbers and deaths as we start to open up in much the same way that other countries like the UK, Israel and Singapore have seen. That, in turn, may lead to localised lockdowns and/or some restrictions being put back in place given that one of the key points from the recently released AIHW report on the 2020 outbreaks identified that "~12.5% of people with COVID-19 were admitted to hospital for treatment" which is not only higher that I thought but cause for concern if we see the sort of increases those countries have had. Let's take Israel as an example. Their adult population is 5.9M and their vaccination rate is considerably higher than ours but in the last 45 days they have had 214,507 cases and 968 deaths so in Australian terms that would be 653k cases, 2,950 deaths (at a CMR of 0.451) and 78k hospitalisations in a 45 day period. I know that's a worst-case scenario (well maybe) but it has to be food for thought. The UK is a bit better with a CMR over 60 days of 0.292% but Florida is worse with a 45 day CMR of >1.010% so take your pick. In the mid term (3-6 months), the path will very much depend on what happens in those first 45 days of 'freedom'. If we see major uncontrolled outbreaks in that first period, it's likely that 'freedom' will get a new meaning and I really don't expect to see a time in that period when masks shouldn't be compulsory (indoors at least) along with restrictions on gathering sizes and (of course) there'll be very little freedom for the unvaccinated. That's all crystal ball stuff so I'm not even thinking of it as a prediction - more of a spit-balling exercise.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14836 | ||
Moderator
![]() Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 7,940
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Russ, unless I am reading your graph wrong, should today not show 473 cases?
Thanks - I've updated the original graph as it was missing today. It also means the trend line continues to increase! Last edited by russellw; 13-09-2021 at 03:39 PM. |
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#14837 | ||
Experienced Member
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Australasia
Posts: 7,537
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Don't be surprised if you stay in lockdown as I'm thinking country Vic or some more regions may be heading back into lockdown and people can blame themselves for it.
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#14838 | |||
Experienced Member
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Australasia
Posts: 7,537
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Quote:
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#14839 | |||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,014
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Quote:
Singapore (as of yesterday) has 80% vaccinated but that's based on the TOTAL population of 5.89M as they have fully vaccinated 4.51M people. We are only looking to vaccinate 80% of the eligible population (12+) which means we are currently at 42.08% of eligible (nationally) and 33.7% of total population fully vaccinated. Actually, it's a bit worse as the data being used in the National target is 80% of over 16's so that's another ~1M people not being counted in the target percentages but that's an estimate because the population breakdown is in 5 year age ranges so it doesn't cover 12-15's. Here is the current fully vaccinated data based on both eligible (16+) population and total population (estimated) for each State as of yesterday: NSW: 46.76% and 37.1%; VIC: 40.18% and 33.3%; QLD: 37.61% and 30.2% ACT: 50.32% and 40.5%; TAS: 47.94% and 39.5%; SA: 39.74% and 32.9% WA: 37.45% and 30.0%; NT: 43.62% and 34.1%
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14840 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,692
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Quote:
Smarten up your homework and find out how the system works - this name calling bull-**** is exactly the same tirade that was unleashed on Julia Gillard - it is weak as ****. I am not that happy either, but at least I do my best to educate myself on the process
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I reserve the right to arm bears
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#14841 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,692
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Quote:
Shepp has worked its **** off to quarantine and to get vaccinated, it would be a poor reward
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I reserve the right to arm bears
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#14842 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,692
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Quote:
I have been told on here a number of times that the Sydney lockdown was waaaay tougher than Victoria's so why aren't you calling the Premier of NSW a dictator too? Could this be a little bit of Labor hating? ![]()
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I reserve the right to arm bears
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#14843 | |||
N/A all the way
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 3,459
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Quote:
(2) Subject to the general direction and control of the Secretary, the Chief Health Officer has the powers, duties, functions and immunities that are conferred or imposed on the Chief Health Officer by or under this or any other Act The "secretary" is defined as the department head. So according to this, the CHO make the rules, but the Health Minister directs and controls him. This is where everyone can blame someone else, everyone has the power, but can say someone else made the decision!!!
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BA GT 5.88 litres of Modular Boss Powered Muscle 300++ RWKW N/A on 98 octane on any dyno, happy or sad, on any day, with any operator you choose - 12.39@115.5 full weight |
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#14844 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,874
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Quote:
The 'Chairman Dan' reference is the poster parroting News Corp and SkyNews propaganda. It amazes me how adults will blindly turn into obedient children and do this. Yes it reminds me too of the horrible smear and name-calling campaign by the very same group towards Gillard |
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#14845 | |||
Experienced Member
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Australasia
Posts: 7,537
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Quote:
Excuse my sarcassm but I could not help myself. Cheers. |
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#14846 | ||||
Peter Car
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: geelong
Posts: 23,145
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Quote:
Quote:
I'm a labor voter, but i'm not one who kisses dan's **** cause of whatever side of politics he's from. That's for the truly ignorant. Kind of ironic considering all the shots you fire at the libs. Talk about hypocrisy. |
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#14847 | ||
Peter Car
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: geelong
Posts: 23,145
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https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-09-...orts/100456088
The people of the UK have spoken. Will the people of australia do the same, or just keep accepting having their freedom of choice taken away by the government? The people should have the right to choose what they want to do, and not have it forced on them via underhanded means. |
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#14848 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,692
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Quote:
were you in this group? No man would stand by and let this happen ![]()
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I reserve the right to arm bears
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#14849 | |||
Experienced Member
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Australasia
Posts: 7,537
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Quote:
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#14850 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Canberra
Posts: 13,374
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Yass in a snap lockdown now for 2 weeks.
Apparently some road map will be announced tomorrow for the ACT but fully expect another lockdown extension to go with it. |
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