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#17194 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,010
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For those wondering about the effectiveness of booster shots here is some data from Israel regarding boosters which have been available there since July 30th.
Disclaimer: Please note that this study only applies to the BNT162b2 (Pfizer) vaccine where it has already been identified that the efficacy starts to wane after ~5-6 months. Other vaccines have shown different patterns of waning immunity over time as shown in other data I've posted recently with AstraZeneca the least impacted and J&J (not used here) the most impacted. Data is for people who were >50 years of age at the start of the study and had received two doses of Pfizer at least 5 months earlier. The mortality due to Covid-19 among participants who received the booster during the study period was compared with that among participants who did not receive the booster. Israel makes an interesting study because they vaccinated early and vaccinated almost the entire population which proved very effective prior to the Delta variant with cases dropping from 1,000 cases per 1 million persons per day in January 2021 to 1 or 2 cases per 1 million persons per day in June 2021. The Delta variant along with the reduced efficacy of Pfizer over time led to a resurgence of Covid-19 cases in Israel and by August 2021, Israel had the highest incidence of Covid-19 worldwide which is why a booster was approved, initially for the >60 age group and then extended to the >50's. A total of 843,208 participants met the eligibility criteria, of whom 758,118 (90%) received the booster during the 54-day study period. Death due to Covid-19 occurred in 65 participants in the booster group (0.16/100k persons per day) and in 137 participants in the non-booster group (2.98/100k persons per day). The adjusted hazard ratio for death due to Covid-19 in the booster group, as compared with the non-booster group, was 0.10 - that is to say participants who received a booster at least 5 months after a second dose of Pfizer had a 90% lower mortality rate due to Covid-19 than participants who did not receive a booster. As a side note: during the study period, confirmed infection was observed in 2,888 participants in the booster group and 11,108 participants in the non-booster group. The adjusted hazard ratio for SARS-CoV-2 infection in the booster group, as compared with the non-booster group, was therefore 0.17 (i.e. the booster group were 83% less likely to be infected).
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#17195 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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#17196 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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Just watching Ch 2 news and the Pfizer vaccine has been approved for kids, starts 10th January 2022, ages 5 to 11.
Last edited by slowsnake; 10-12-2021 at 10:12 AM. |
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#17197 | |||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,836
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Quote:
NSW looks set to finish the week with strong case numbers. Will the Premier lose his nerve on the final rollback of restrictions per December 15th? |
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#17198 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,010
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT December 9th 2021.
Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting. 1,654 new cases for Australia and 10 deaths so the CMR is 0.930%. 106 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 0.349%. The UK had 50,023 cases yesterday and 161 deaths for a CMR of 1.376%. 130,065 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,330 deaths sees CMR at 1.614%. Other notable points: Global deaths pass 5.3M, the last 50k in 6 days; Europe passes 77M cases; Eswatini (1,084); Finland (1,781); Zimbabwe (5,189); and Norway (5,355); .... recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period and none drop below.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#17199 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,010
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NSW/VIC
NSW records 516 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.1368 (from 1.1333) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend line although it is tracking with it. ![]() VIC records 1,206 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.0416 (from 1.0349) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend. ![]()
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#17200 | |||
Virtuous Bogan (TM)
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: TAS
Posts: 27,559
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Quote:
The only piece left of the puzzle is kids as above, apart from that we just cant keep locking down.
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#17201 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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Reminds me of Ernest Hemmingways book "The Old Man and the Sea"........
![]() Australia is the giant fish tied to the side of his boat, and as he slowly gets toward home the sharks slowly but surely devour his prized catch, by the time he gets to shore, the only thing left is the carcass!......that's Australia....... ![]() |
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#17202 | ||
VFII SS UTE
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Central Coast
Posts: 6,353
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I don't often hear the sound of a screaming LSX. But when I do, So do the neighbours.. GO SOUTHS
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#17203 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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Just on my Ch 24 news, Victoria has 13 deaths and 1193 new Covid-19 cases.
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#17204 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 4,922
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Thursday night my daughter's friend got notification that she had been at an exposure site. The gap between her visit to that site and the SMS she received was over 48hours.
This is all new-ish to us in SA. She has to isolate for 14 days. Hope she's done her Xmas shopping. With this info we were surprised to not see any info of the site in the news or online. Eventually the info was there, but 24 hours later. Long time considering the fast transmission deal. This girl works with children and as it is a care-centre there is a huge number of interactions with other adults also. Easy to see how it can go wild with delays like that. |
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#17205 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,010
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT December 10th 2021.
Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting. 1,729 new cases for Australia and no deaths so the CMR is 0.923%. No data for NZ so CMR is 0.349%. The UK had 58,184 cases yesterday and 120 deaths for a CMR of 1.364%. 135,548 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,848 deaths sees CMR at 1.613%. Other notable points: Global cases pass 268M, the last 1M in 2 days; Europe passes 77M cases; Laos (1,645); Finland (1,794); and Norway (5,413); .... recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. Namibia moves above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period and no countries drop below.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#17206 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,010
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NSW/VIC
NSW records 560 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.1051 (from 1.1368) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend line although it is tracking with it. ![]() VIC records 1,193 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.0121 (from 1.0416) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend. ![]()
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Observatio Facta Rotae
Last edited by russellw; 11-12-2021 at 03:49 PM. |
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#17207 | ||||
Budget Racer
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 2,420
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Quote:
Quote:
Now that most are vaccinated we are attempting to living with Covid. No more lockdowns, everything back to (post Covid) normal. I don't miss the lack of traffic during lock down. ![]()
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12.1@112Mph 285rwkw on n2o Cleveland Power |
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#17208 | |||
BLUE OVAL INC.
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 8,645
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Quote:
My Manager was in an exposure site on the 26/11 at Cardone's Seafood and Grill Glenelg, didnt get the SMS until 2/12. I walked out of the depot on the Thursday morning and he's standing with his mask on, im like, you dont need that on outside mate, he said you do if you receive one of these and held up his phone with the message. |
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#17209 | |||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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Quote:
May ease the pain of loss of pay, neighbour got it, nearly $700 and she deserved it! ![]() |
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#17210 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,836
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Three days to go.
From Wednesday, NSW abandons mandatory QR codes and masks in many everyday settings - just as new infections ramp up. I note Professor Esterman of UNSW (who has largely been a “moderate” in his comments since Covid awareness kicked off) is suggesting that new cases for NSW won’t peak until sometime in February. If the state government holds its nerve on this timeline, I’m fully expecting a backlash from several other states in restrictions upon inbound people who’ve been in NSW. |
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#17211 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 3,318
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Personally I take about ten thousand international units of vitamin D per day plus 30 minutes to and hour of good sun (low in the sky)....obviously when it's not overcast.
I eat one meal per day around 6pm and usually walk between 1 to 2 hours when I can find the time. And I also take the other vitamins mentioned, and then some. I never recorded any of it but my best guess is that I have been doing most of that or working towards it for at least a year. |
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#17212 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,891
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Quote:
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#17213 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 3,318
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#17214 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,891
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Quote:
If you only eat once a day, it'd be an interesting diet to obtain 10,000 IU vitamin D without "pills".
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#17215 | ||
END WOKENESS
Join Date: Jul 2017
Location: Tasmania home of the rednecks
Posts: 195
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No vax for me.
And no it's not my job to protect you that's what the vax is for. |
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#17216 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 3,318
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Quote:
And the one meal is a big meal. Usually two plates or two bowls depending on what I'm eating. |
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#17217 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,010
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT December 11th 2021.
Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting. 1,745 new cases for Australia and 18 deaths so the CMR is 0.924%. 160 new cases for NZ and 2 deaths so CMR is 0.360%. The UK had 52,279 cases yesterday and 132 deaths for a CMR of 1.359%. 147,299 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,591 deaths sees CMR at 1.612%. Other notable points: (weekend reporting) Asia passes 83M cases; Laos (1,898); Zimbabwe (6,181); and Vietnam (16,141) .... recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period and Latvia drops below.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#17218 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,010
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NSW/VIC
NSW records 485 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.0837 (from 1.1051) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend line. ![]() VIC records 1,069 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 0.9814 (from 1.0121) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend. ![]()
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#17219 | |||
Bolt Nerd
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Ojochal, Costa Rica (Pura Vida!)
Posts: 14,616
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Quote:
I’d suggest mayhem if he doesn’t follow suit? (Especially Christmas lead up)
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Current vehicles.. Yamaha Rhino UTV, SWB 4L TJ Jeep, and boring Lhd RAV4 Bionic BF F6... UPDATE: Replaced by Shiro White 370z 7A Roadster. SOLD Workhack: FG Silhouette XR50 Turbo ute (11.63@127.44mph) SOLD 2 wheels.. 2015 103ci HD Wideglide.. SOLD SOLD THE LOT, Voted with our feet and relocated to COSTA RICA for some Pura Vida! (Ex Blood Orange #023 FPV Pursuit owner ![]() |
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#17220 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,891
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Masks set to go on the 15th. Check ins are almost useless now. Compliance is about 30% from observations..... Hardly anyone does it any longer, and no one checks. The only ones that check are events and restaurants.
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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