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#18121 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
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Location: 1975
Posts: 107,019
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We've been talking about hospitalisation rates falling along with case numbers and while the rate of growth has slowed, the percentage of new cases hospitalised has actually increased substantially last week to 0.929% (from 0.570% the previous week).
The same applies to ICU admissions up from 0.061% to 0.100% although 'adjusted' deaths have fallen from 0.064% to 0.052%.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#18122 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,891
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Check out "Pandremix H1N1 vaccine children narcolepsy". Vaccine came out in 2009 / 2010. Wasn't until about 2018? that a link was made. Big payout in the UK.
I experienced short term "heart irregularity" 3 weeks after my first jab, Pfizer. Docs did a test and just fobbed it off as "heart awareness"....another way of saying "its in your head". I think I know my body, but OK. Nothing after the 2nd. So yes, I'm a little apprehensive going for multi shots.
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#18123 | |||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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Quote:
Because my overall health is shocking, mainly due to having a lung ripped out 7 months ago, I could have side effects and not really know it, but I did notice one side effect on the first 2 doses, massive insomnia, but the booster nothing but a stinging ****!... ![]() |
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#18124 | |||
N/A all the way
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 3,459
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Quote:
So, became apparent within a year. And Pandemrix was only 31 million doses, compared to 10 Billion doses given of the various Covid vaccines. This case sort of backs up that if there is side effects (as were identified with all Covid Vaccines, which include the ones you had) they are identified and risk assessed quickly. Covid vaccines are now probably the most tested and checked vaccines ever.
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BA GT 5.88 litres of Modular Boss Powered Muscle 300++ RWKW N/A on 98 octane on any dyno, happy or sad, on any day, with any operator you choose - 12.39@115.5 full weight |
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#18125 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Hervey Bay
Posts: 5,213
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Interesting read for those who have interest in adverse affects statistics from the vaccine.
https://www.tga.gov.au/periodic/covi...ort-20-01-2022 If I read correctly there have been 1288 likely cases of myocarditis and pericarditis to date out of 32.1m does given. The likely is then broken down into 3 levels of assurance. Thrombosis from the AZ vaccine is reported as 2 per 100,000 people on the first dose and .3 per 100,000 people on the second. It says there were 13.7m AZ doses given, so assuming a 50/50 split of first and second dose, that would mean there were around 138 people who suffered reactions. At worst case without splitting the doses, at a rate of 2 per 100,000, that works out to be 274 people. The rest of the reports would fall into sore arm, headaches, etc, etc. |
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#18126 | |||
Shapeshifter
Join Date: Nov 2018
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 142
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Quote:
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/coro...e-covid-dying/ And the Liberal Government is not responsible for the shortage of RATs in Australia. https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/austr...CGh?li=AAgfYrC It's the Australian publics fault! If people just stop buying RATs, there'll be plenty of them in the stores! ![]() |
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#18127 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 3,318
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I posted this before.
Most of it has bore fruit. |
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#18128 | ||
Donating Member
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 5,656
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#18129 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 5,047
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Their mathematical extrapolations were comedy gold. I'd expect nothing less from a pair of quacks (they're osteopaths, not doctors).
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#18130 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,848
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So an update from 'the land of the free (sic)' - Atlanta
Wife+I double Moderna + Pfizer booster, Kids (teens) both double Pfizer no booster. Wife never gets sick, Son and I get everything that is going around, Daughter is in the middle. I am probably in three risk categories (overweight, chronic sinus infection, over 55) Two weeks ago - On the weekend I start azrithromycin for a chronic sinus infection. Daughter gets a little ill on a Monday evening, Temp Tuesday 102, then starts to recover. Think nothing of it. Tuesday I am exhausted after 3k return walk to the grocery shop, get early night. Daughter continues to improve, mild flu symptoms Wed, Thursday I can only work 3 hours, then my brain stops. muscle aches, mild flu symptoms - Continue thinking nothing of it - it is winter here. Thursday Wife and Son both start the day with a slight cough. Friday I am largely recovered, daughter a little behind me. Friday Son seems quite unwell, temp 102, Then Saturday 104 decide to get PCR covid test, Wife seems to have mild flu. Sunday Son's test comes back positive decide to get PCR for wife The result comes in positive on Tuesday Wife and son start to improve. Now 9 days after first symptom for daughter, and 8 days after first symptom for me, we guess we also had covid, get quick test (serology?) for Daughter and I, both negative, so for fun on Friday I get PCR test - comes back negative. The above timeline may be out by a day here and there but this is correct: Wife and Son are almost symptom free now after about 10 days of bad flu type of disease, daughter had normal/mild flu symptoms for only 6 days, I really only had very light flu-like symptoms for 3 days. |
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#18131 | ||
N/A all the way
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 3,459
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In the first 30 seconds. "From a ER Physician Entrepreneur perspective"!!!!!!
Covid safety effecting the entrepreneurial attempts of these two. Damn hold the order on the new S Class Merc......... ![]()
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BA GT 5.88 litres of Modular Boss Powered Muscle 300++ RWKW N/A on 98 octane on any dyno, happy or sad, on any day, with any operator you choose - 12.39@115.5 full weight |
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#18132 | |||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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Quote:
Hope you all pull through happy and healthy ![]() |
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#18133 | ||
Shapeshifter
Join Date: Nov 2018
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 142
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How did people who were eligible to receive their free RATs go yesterday? Did you manage to get any?
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/austr...Q6E?li=AAgfYrC |
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#18134 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,019
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Australia
NSW records 18,512 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 09205 (from 0.8752) while the actual line is almost level with the predictive trend line. ![]() VIC records 14,836 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9574 (from 0.9038) while the actual line is now above the predictive trend. ![]() Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st. Note that Queensland numbers are a day behind the other two States. ![]() As it was the end of our week on Monday, here are the weekly case numbers with NSW having 45k more cases then Victoria last week although Victoria recorded 91,855 less cases than the previous week while NSW recorded 119,079 less. ![]()
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#18135 | |||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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Quote:
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#18136 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,891
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Quote:
__________________
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#18137 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,019
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT January 24th 2022.
42,441 new cases for Australia and 40 deaths so the CMR is 0.141%. NZ recorded 75 cases and 0 deaths for a CMR of 0.333%. The UK recorded 94,397 cases and 74 deaths for a CMR of 0.965%. 562,793 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,644 deaths sees CMR at 1.231%. Other notable points: Global cases pass 354M; Europe passes 115M cases; Asia passes 95M cases; North America passes 85M cases; South America passes 46M cases; USA passes 72M cases; Italy passes 10M cases; Spain passes 9M cases; Bhutan (162); New Caledonia (805); Somalia (1,066); Algeria (2,215); Palestine (3,620) – the previous high (2,884) on 8/4/21; Estonia (5,040); Kuwait (5,176); Jordan (11,478) – the previous high (9,535) on 17/3/21; Peru (18,797); and Russia (65,109) ... all recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period and Mozambique drops below.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
Last edited by russellw; 02-02-2022 at 12:45 AM. |
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#18138 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,019
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It's still January and we've already surpassed the 2020 COVID death toll (911) with 935 thus far but that's based on more than 60x as many cases as we had in 2020 so the raw CMR is much lower at 0.050% compared to the 3.064% of 2020 or even the 0.356% of 2021. Indeed, even the adjusted CMR of 0.097% is much better than either which is just as well given we have already had just over 5x as many cases than we had in all of 2021 because that's 6,656 extra people who otherwise would have died if the rate was the same as 2021!
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#18139 | ||
Guest
Posts: n/a
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Can't even play along anymore Russ
Apparently we hit the peak on the Goldy yesterday, yet Brisbane won't until the middle of next week ? Hmmmmmmm |
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#18142 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 3,318
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#18143 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,891
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Its been twice now where I've been in the same house, mingling with someone who was not 100%, and they later tested positive. And neither time has it been transmitted over. *touch wood*
Three household COVID-19 outbreaks, three different results: Why some exposed people don't catch Omicron https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-01-...reak/100770502
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#18144 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 5,047
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Quote:
is this what passes for 'doing your own research'? |
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#18145 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,019
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Australia
NSW records 21,030 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9630 (from 0.9205) while the actual line is now above the predictive trend line. ![]() VIC records 14,836 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9574 (from 0.9038) while the actual line remains above the predictive trend. ![]() Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st. ![]() One of the things that should be of concern is the rapid increasing mortality numbers. Yes, the percentages are low with a National CMR of 0.052% (raw) and 0.101% (adjusted) but we're about to pass 1,000 deaths for the YTD, yet we only had 1,323 for all of 2021.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
Last edited by russellw; 26-01-2022 at 10:59 AM. |
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#18146 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,019
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT January 25th 2022.
45,996 new cases for Australia and 64 deaths so the CMR is 0.141%. NZ recorded 62 cases and 0 deaths for a CMR of 0.331%. The UK recorded 154,356 cases and 440 deaths for a CMR of 0.962%. 670,050 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,867 deaths sees CMR at 1.223%. Other notable points: Global cases pass 358M; Europe sets a new daily high with 1,626,689 cases; Africa sets a new daily high with 71,298 cases; Europe passes 116M cases; Asia passes 96M cases; USA passes 73M cases; India passes 40M cases; France passes 17M cases; UK passes 16M cases; Algeria (2,521); North Macedonia (2,332); Palestine (4,095); Bahrain (4,360); Moldova (5,138); Estonia (5,145); Kuwait (5,742); Latvia (6,097); South Korea (8,566); Jordan (11,813); Bulgaria (12,399); Georgia (15,762); Serbia (19,901); Romania (19,685); Finland (29,529); Czechia (30,350); Denmark (43,734); Russia (67,809); Israel (83,739) on 23/1; Germany (148,408); and France (501,635) ... all recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. Azerbaijan and Mongolia move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period while Zambia and Kenya drop below.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
Last edited by russellw; 02-02-2022 at 12:46 AM. |
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#18147 | |||
Guest
Join Date: Aug 2018
Posts: 1,892
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Quote:
Have you done any Modelling to see where the death rate is (hypothetically) Headed...???? |
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#18148 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 5,047
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Quote:
The other thing is timing. 2021's outbreaks were late in the year. 2022's is right at the start. We may have no more after this, especially if subsequent variants are omicron-derived and likely even less deadly. |
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#18149 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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#18150 | |||
Former BTIKD
![]() Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Sunny Downtown Wagga Wagga. NSW.
Posts: 53,197
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Quote:
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Dying at your job is natures way of saying that you're in the wrong line of work.
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