Covid 19 -

[SJG351]

Originally Posted by russellw

Australia / New Zealand
NSW records 5,856 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9837 from 0.9788) while the actual line falls further below the predictive trend line.

image

VIC records 5,852 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9924 (from 0.9669) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend.

image

No states set a new daily record on 27/2.

Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st. Note that all trend lines have been amended to 5th order polynomials except New Zealand.

image

We’ve added New Zealand now that things have ramped up there. Data goes back to January 15th and the 15,016 cases yesterday was a new record high and the actual line looks like Australia did some weeks back although it is starting to level off a bit.

image

Russ, just out of curiosity what are you using as your data source for cases?

[russellw]

Originally Posted by SJG351

Russ, just out of curiosity what are you using as your data source for cases?

Individual state reporting plus the ABC.

[hackney]

Originally Posted by T3rminator

Any news on how Clive is doing? Had covid symptoms, apparently tested negative, but was rush to hospital last I heard. He is unvaxxed, fair to say probably in the "at risk" group. Has been a fan of Ivermectin. Wonder if he'll miraculously recover then come out and say he took all these special pills.

Look @ the guy,massively overweight,I suspect his health is not that good,he may even pull out if his health cannot get any better.No loss if he pulls out.Trump is probably his alter ego.

[SJG351]

Originally Posted by russellw

Individual state reporting plus the ABC.

So would you agree that these are reported cases and may not be actual cases, as in testing false positive, never went on to produce symptoms of Covid?

[zilo]

Originally Posted by SJG351

Just so you are aware, Mr Kelly voted his approval to bring non Australian forces in on that bill recently, they were the ones assaulting Australian freedom protesters

which bill and what protest?

[SJG351]

Originally Posted by zilo

which bill and what protest?

Seriously? That's how you do your research? Fine i will try to find the articles because i have nothing better to be doing right?

[nstg8a]

Originally Posted by SJG351

Seriously? That's how you do your research? Fine i will try to find the articles because i have nothing better to be doing right?

If you’re gonna be deliberately vague, then yeah you obviously have nothing better to do.

[SJG351]

Originally Posted by nstg8a

If you’re gonna be deliberately vague, then yeah you obviously have nothing better to do.

Who rattled your cage? I said i would find the information unlike you lazy people who only see the 6 o'clock news as gospel

[SJG351]

Originally Posted by zilo

which bill and what protest?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zVoNEOuUJDE
http://classic.austlii.edu.au/au/leg...0663/sch2.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ssyfoed27J0
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&sour...F_QK0A_vExdt2S

The last one was because you cant see the wood for the trees.

[russellw]

Originally Posted by SJG351

So would you agree that these are reported cases and may not be actual cases, as in testing false positive, never went on to produce symptoms of Covid?

You obviously have an axe to grind. There have been regular adjustments to those numbers based on duplications and false positives, the last of those knocking 5k cases off the total on 17/2. I suspect, if anything, case numbers are still being under-reported for a variety of reasons.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
NSW records 8,874 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.0015 from 0.9837) while the actual line falls further below the predictive trend line.



VIC records 6,879 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.0914 (from 0.9924) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend.



WA (1,140) set a new daily record on 28/2.

Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st. Note that all trend lines have been amended to 5th order polynomials except New Zealand.



We’ve added New Zealand now that things have ramped up there. Data goes back to January 15th and the actual line looks like Australia did some weeks back although it is starting to level off a bit.



As it was the end of our week yesterday, here are the weekly case numbers with NSW having 8,868 more cases then Victoria last week although Victoria recorded 3,251 less cases than the previous week while NSW recorded 4,020 less and Queensland 7,382 less.

[SJG351]

Originally Posted by russellw

You obviously have an axe to grind. There have been regular adjustments to those numbers based on duplications and false positives, the last of those knocking 5k cases off the total on 17/2. I suspect, if anything, case numbers are still being under-reported for a variety of reasons.

All good Russ, Complete frustration, like most, is what i suffer from. Like everyone i know i want this grubermental control ended asap

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT February 28th 2022.

19,092 new cases for Australia and 12 deaths so the CMR is 0.161%.

NZ recorded 14,683 cases and 0 deaths for a CMR of 0.056%. The case total also passes 100k.

The UK didn’t report again for a CMR of 0.857%.

39,317 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,403 deaths sees CMR at 1.209%.

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 436M;
Yesterday is no longer under 1M global cases after more countries reported;
Turkey passes 14M cases;

Brunei (4,095);
Hong Kong (34,466) – twice the previous high; and
Vietnam (86,990) on 27/2

... all recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.

No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period while Hungary, Oman and Poland drop below.

[arm79]

Originally Posted by SJG351

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&sour...F_QK0A_vExdt2S

The last one was because you cant see the wood for the trees.

Posting links to ******** videos does nothing for your credibility. Apart from tank it really.

It was this site that I learnt that:

• COVID-19 actually stands for "Certificate of Vaccination Identification Number 19"
• If you put a magnet against your arm at the vaccination injection site it will stick because of the tracking materials in the liquid
• The inventor of the PCR test has told the world time and time again since late 2020 and all 2021 that his Nobel Prize winning tests CAN NOT detect Covid and that any positive result is fake and fraud upon the public. Who gives a sh*t that he actually died in mid 2019 though.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
NSW records 10,650 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.0996 from 1.0529) while the actual line falls is heading back toward the predictive trend line.



VIC records 7,126 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.0455 (from 1.0194) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend.



WA (1,179) set a new daily record on 1/3.

Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st.



We’ve added New Zealand now that things have ramped up there. Data goes back to January 15th and the 17,991 cases yesterday is another record while the actual line looks like Australia did some weeks back although it is starting to level off a bit.

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT March 1st 2022.

25,017 new cases for Australia and 39 deaths so the CMR is 0.161%.

NZ recorded 17,991 cases and 0 deaths for a CMR of 0.047%. The case total also passes 100k.

The UK reported 54,594 cases over 2 days for a CMR of 0.856%.

56,415 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,618 deaths sees CMR at 1.210%.

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 438M;
Europe passes 156M cases;
Asia passes 117M cases;
Spain passes 11M cases;
Japan passes 5M cases;

Brunei (4,220); and
Vietnam (94,385) on 28/2

... all recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.

No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period while Moldova and Peru drop below.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
NSW records 11,338 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.1180 from 1.0996) while the actual line falls is almost back to the predictive trend line.


VIC records 7,093 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.0297 (from 1.0455) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend.




WA (1,770) set a new daily record on 2/3.

Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st.



We’ve added New Zealand now that things have ramped up there. Data goes back to January 15th and the 24,106 cases yesterday is another record while the actual line looks like a vertical climb although it is starting to level off a bit.

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT March 2nd 2022.

25,270 new cases for Australia and 63 deaths so the CMR is 0.162%.

NZ recorded 24,106 cases and 0 deaths for a CMR of 0.039%.

The UK reported 142,620 cases and 343 deaths over 2 days for a CMR of 0.850%.

56,696 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,908 deaths sees CMR at 1.212%.

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 440M;
Europe passes 157M cases;
North America passes 95M cases;
The UK passes 19M cases;
Australia passes 3,000 deaths for 2022;
Spain passes 100k deaths;

New Zealand 24,106;
Hong Kong (55,513);
Vietnam (98,762) on 1/3; and
South Korea (219,237)

... all recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.

Norway moves above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period while Sweden, Tunisia, Azerbaijan and Ireland drop below.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
NSW records 9,466 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.0235 from 1.1180) while the actual line falls back below the predictive trend line.


VIC records 6,545 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.0011 (from 1.0297) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend.




WA (2,423) set a new daily record on 3/3.

Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st.



New Zealand data goes back to January 15th and the 23,180 cases yesterday helps the actual line looks start to level off a bit.

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT March 3rd 2022.

35,882 new cases for Australia and 46 deaths so the CMR is 0.161%.

NZ recorded 23,180 cases and 0 deaths for a CMR of 0.034%.

The UK reported 45,375 cases and 194 deaths over 2 days for a CMR of 0.849%.

59,439 new cases in the USA yesterday and 2,568 deaths sees CMR at 1.214%.

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 441M;
Global deaths pass 6.00M, the last 50k in 6 days;
Europe passes 158M cases;
Asia passes 118M cases;

Brunei (4,885);
Malaysia (32,467);
Hong Kong (56,827); and
Vietnam (110,301) on 2/3;

... all recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.

No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period and none drop below.

I have not heard or seen a thing about Covid in at least 5 days since the weather started... and the war !

[T3rminator]

Originally Posted by TrVrPhiLpsiNdstrys

I have not heard or seen a thing about Covid in at least 5 days since the weather started... and the war !

Posts have been fewer since reopening of states.

I do feel for store employees though, stiffling weather and they still have to don the face nappy full time.

[wodahs]

I have ! but it's been Russell's posts here , who is now the main only poster now

[Itsme]

Originally Posted by TrVrPhiLpsiNdstrys

I have not heard or seen a thing about Covid in at least 5 days since the weather started... and the war !

How true Covid is now old news, not making much money for news media these days.
The Ukraine war is the news of the day.

[arm79]

Originally Posted by Itsme

How true Covid is now old news, not making much money for news media these days.
The Ukraine war is the news of the day.

Rain and schools bring wrongfully closed is all the rage in Qld today. Out ranked covid and the Russia/Ukraine thing.

Chicken lady copped a hammering today.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
NSW records 10,012 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.0272 from 1.0235) while the actual line falls back below the predictive trend line.



VIC records 5,721 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 0.9864 (from 1.0011) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend.



No states set a new daily record on 4/3.

Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st.



New Zealand data goes back to January 15th and the 22,582 cases yesterday helps the actual line start to level off a bit.

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT March 4th 2022.

24,558 new cases for Australia and 35 deaths so the CMR is 0.161%.

NZ recorded 22,852 cases and 7 deaths for a CMR of 0.033%.

The UK reported 44,485 cases and 110 deaths for a CMR of 0.847%.

76,218 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,534 deaths sees CMR at 1.215%.

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 443M;
Europe passes 159M cases;
Asia passes 119M cases;
Vietnam passes 4M cases;

Malaysia (33,209);
Vietnam (125,857) – the 6th consecutive day; and
South Korea (266,938)

... all recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.

No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period while Bulgaria, Libya, Armenia and Canada drop below.

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT March 5th 2022.

22,854 new cases for Australia and 48 deaths so the CMR is 0.162%.

NZ recorded 18,882 cases and 0 deaths for a CMR of 0.030%. Total cases in NZ pass the 200k mark.

The UK didn’t report for a CMR of 0.847%.

48,028 new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,548 deaths sees CMR at 1.216%.

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 443M;
Asia passes 120M cases;
Brazil passes 29M cases;
France passes 23M cases;
South Korea passes 4M cases;
Thailand passes 3M cases;
Africa passes 250k deaths;

Malaysia (33,406); and
Vietnam (131,817) – the 7th consecutive day

... all recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.

No countries move above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period while Czechia, Lebanon and Ireland drop below.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
NSW records 8,782 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.0223 from 1.0272) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend line.


VIC records 5,046 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 0.9777 (from 0.9864) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend.


No states set a new daily record on 5/3.

Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st.



New Zealand data goes back to January 15th and the 18,882 cases yesterday helps the actual line to trend downward and drop below the predictive trend.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
NSW records 9,017 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.0333 from 1.0223) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend line.



VIC records 5,645 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9915 (from 0.9777) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend.



No states set a new daily record on 6/3.

Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st.



New Zealand data goes back to January 15th and the 15,205 cases yesterday helps the actual line to trend downward and drop below the predictive trend.